Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000675 0.000705 0.000735 0.000768 0.000804 0.000840 0.000880
2025-11-09 0.000616 0.000659 0.000704 0.000756 0.000812 0.000873 0.000943
2025-11-16 0.000572 0.000624 0.000680 0.000745 0.000819 0.000901 0.000999
2025-11-23 0.000551 0.000611 0.000677 0.000756 0.000849 0.000954 0.001085
2025-11-30 0.000528 0.000594 0.000668 0.000758 0.000866 0.000992 0.001153
2025-12-07 0.000502 0.000571 0.000650 0.000747 0.000867 0.001009 0.001195
2025-12-14 0.000478 0.000550 0.000632 0.000736 0.000865 0.001022 0.001232
2025-12-21 0.000459 0.000532 0.000618 0.000728 0.000866 0.001038 0.001272
2025-12-28 0.000430 0.000502 0.000587 0.000697 0.000837 0.001014 0.001258
2026-01-04 0.000414 0.000487 0.000574 0.000687 0.000834 0.001022 0.001286
2026-01-11 0.000402 0.000476 0.000565 0.000683 0.000838 0.001038 0.001326
2026-01-18 0.000389 0.000463 0.000554 0.000675 0.000835 0.001047 0.001354
2026-01-25 0.000381 0.000457 0.000551 0.000678 0.000848 0.001077 0.001416
2026-02-01 0.000368 0.000444 0.000539 0.000668 0.000845 0.001084 0.001446
2026-02-08 0.000356 0.000432 0.000528 0.000660 0.000842 0.001092 0.001477
2026-02-15 0.000353 0.000431 0.000531 0.000670 0.000864 0.001137 0.001565
2026-02-22 0.000346 0.000426 0.000528 0.000671 0.000875 0.001165 0.001630
2026-03-01 0.000336 0.000415 0.000517 0.000662 0.000871 0.001170 0.001658
2026-03-08 0.000326 0.000404 0.000506 0.000653 0.000864 0.001172 0.001682
2026-03-15 0.000317 0.000396 0.000498 0.000646 0.000862 0.001180 0.001714
2026-03-22 0.000302 0.000378 0.000476 0.000620 0.000830 0.001142 0.001669
2026-03-29 0.000294 0.000369 0.000467 0.000611 0.000824 0.001143 0.001689
2026-04-05 0.000288 0.000363 0.000462 0.000608 0.000825 0.001155 0.001728